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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Retirement
What volatility means for retirement plan participants
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Market volatility doesn’t have to interfere with retirement outcomes. Here are three ways volatility can impact plan participants and three ways to manage it.
Behavioral Finance
Correction or bear? 6 charts that explain market declines
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How often do market corrections turn into entrenched bear markets? Not very often. In fact there have already been six market corrections since the current bull market started in 2009.
Behavioral Finance
Market timing can contribute to investor mistakes
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Concerned about volatility in your equity portfolio? Trying to time the markets probably isn’t the answer. Data from Morningstar shows that, on average, investor returns lag fund returns.
Behavioral Finance
How to handle market declines
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You wouldn’t be human if you didn’t fear loss. But smart investing can overcome the power of emotion by focusing on relevant research, solid data and proven strategies. Here are seven principles that can help fight the urge to make emotional decisions in times of market turmoil.