What if I told you that there’s a formula that is exceedingly easy to remember and could positively impact almost every decision you make? What if I told you that there is a formula for happiness?
The Business Roundtable announced this week that, in its latest reading, the organization’s CEO Economic Outlook Index had its biggest quarterly decline in seven years. Business Roundtable President and CEO Joshua Bolton said, “American businesses now have their foot poised above the brake, and they're tapping the brake periodically.”
We believe the Fed is taking a risk — one we hope works — in shifting from reactive to preemptive monetary policy. It was not that long ago that the Fed was more forthright about the uncertainty inherent in economic forecasting as Chairman Powell used the analogy of walking into a dark room and slowing down to avoid furniture as an analogy for the Fed’s situation. Today, they seem more certain that they know the future and aim to alter it.
The European Central Bank announced aggressive moves last week to fight slow growth and low inflation. Chief Investment Strategist EMEA & APAC Wouter Sturkenboom gives our take on what this means for investors globally.
When it comes to the global equity market race, well, it hasn’t been much of a race. With US equities – as measured by the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) – up 254% over the past 10 years and 18% in 2019 vs. developed international equities – as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index – up 74% and 10% and emerging international equities – as measured by the MSCI EM Index – up 90% and 7%, respectively, through the end of August.
As a kid growing up in Bettendorf, Iowa, Capital Group equity analyst Nathan Meyer had two passions: sports and video games. “There wasn’t much else to do in Bettendorf,” he says of the small, rural town about 170 miles west of Chicago.
U.S. Treasury yields rose dramatically last week, led by longer maturities. Several maturity ranges experienced their largest weekly increase since late 2016. Investor sentiment was bolstered by an improving outlook for U.S./China trade and near certain expectations for another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut this week.
Global stock markets enjoyed a third week of gains, as global monetary policy continued to ease and as trade tensions lessened (or at least did not get worse). The European Central Bank ramped up its easing policies and the Federal Reserve looks set to cut rates this week, which helped the overall risk-on sentiment.
Global equities rose after planned U.S. tariffs on China were delayed. Investors expect a rate cut from the Federal Reserve this week.
Markets breathed a sigh of relief last week on signs of easing U.S.-China trade tensions. We see ongoing policy support, the absence of obvious financial system vulnerabilities and resilient consumer spending helping extend the U.S. economic expansion.