Prospects of a U.S./China trade “truce” stoked a strong risk-on sentiment, significantly boosting U.S. Treasury yields. The increase offset a majority of the previous week’s declines.
In the context of today’s fundamental backdrop and default outlook, spread levels suggest investors are being fairly compensated, relative to other points in the cycle, for the amount of risk they are taking.
The performance of Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt can—and does—vary widely from country to country. In this piece, Barings’ Cem Karacadag explores how an active approach can be key to selecting the most attractive opportunities, while also avoiding the bad apples.
While there is no shortage of risks to consider in today’s high yield markets—from ESG to the end of the credit cycle—Barings’ Martin Horne describes how taking a contrarian approach can help investors uncover pockets of value.
U.S. Treasury yields fell dramatically last week, led by shorter maturities. Weaker-than-expected manufacturing data fueled risk-off sentiment.
U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly last week, led by 2-year maturities. Political concerns weighed on market sentiment, and escalating U.S./ China trade tensions and weakening consumer confidence data added to investor concerns.
U.S. Treasury yields dropped significantly last week, led by longer maturities. As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut rates, although future guidance regarding policy was unclear.
We believe the Fed is taking a risk — one we hope works — in shifting from reactive to preemptive monetary policy. It was not that long ago that the Fed was more forthright about the uncertainty inherent in economic forecasting as Chairman Powell used the analogy of walking into a dark room and slowing down to avoid furniture as an analogy for the Fed’s situation. Today, they seem more certain that they know the future and aim to alter it.
U.S. Treasury yields rose dramatically last week, led by longer maturities. Several maturity ranges experienced their largest weekly increase since late 2016. Investor sentiment was bolstered by an improving outlook for U.S./China trade and near certain expectations for another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut this week.
U.S. Treasury yields rose last week as investor sentiment improved, led by longer maturities. After a soft start due to weak U.S. manufacturing data and geopolitical concerns, market sentiment was boosted by improved prospects for Brexit and a sense of easing tensions in Hong Kong and U.S./China trade talks.
Stuart Mathieson, Head of Barings’ Global Special Situations group, and Bryan High, Co-Portfolio Manager of the strategy, discuss how the macro environment is impacting their outlook, and where they're seeing distressed debt opportunities today.