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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
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Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: A 50/50 U.S. Recession Risk
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald examines the economic risks investors face.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What are the Secondary Effects of the War? The Dreaded “Triple R”
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Fears of the dreaded “triple R” are growing—encompassing a recession, rising rates, and a loss in real household incomes. It is a dangerous time for investors, especially for those that draw a straight line from economic events to portfolio changes. We must be intentional and focused on our goals, including understanding what was already priced in and managing any risks to our convictions.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: Less Growth, More Inflation
With no end to Russia’s attack on Ukraine in sight, energy and agriculture are feeling the strain.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Global Equities and Bond Yields Rise, Economic Indicators May Show Damage from Ukraine Conflict
US, ex-US and emerging markets stocks rose, and yields increased after Fed rate hike. Purchasing managers economic indicators to be released this week in Europe and US.