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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
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Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
An End to the Build Back Better Saga?
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After more than a year of intraparty negotiations, Democrats are on the cusp of enacting the Inflation Reduction Act.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: A 50/50 U.S. Recession Risk
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald examines the economic risks investors face.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: Less Growth, More Inflation
With no end to Russia’s attack on Ukraine in sight, energy and agriculture are feeling the strain.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Global Equities and Bond Yields Rise, Economic Indicators May Show Damage from Ukraine Conflict
US, ex-US and emerging markets stocks rose, and yields increased after Fed rate hike. Purchasing managers economic indicators to be released this week in Europe and US.