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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Handicapping the Outlook for US-Sino Trade Negotiations
Market pundits have doubted this bull market every step of the way. Each pullback put into evidence that the cycle had reached its endgame; each recovery off the lows furthered the disequilibrium caused by monetary malfeasance. And yet, not more than two weeks ago the market stood as high as it ever has.
Alternative Investments
The Case for Liquid Alternatives, Especially Now
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While we have long advocated that alternatives should be a core allocation within any diversified portfolio, we believe that in this environment they will be even more helpful to investors.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Give a little, get a little
Read the full commentary for insight on earnings, data, macro, and other key factors affecting the US economy in the near term.