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Market Outlooks
CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS: 2023 EDITION FIVE-YEAR OUTLOOK
Northern Trust expects higher interest rates and flat global yield curves to cap bond and equity returns, causing market returns to drift below historical averages.
Market Outlooks
Rate Angst
Rising rates badly burned the bond market – and wartime, COVID and inflationary pressures mean plenty of salt to add to the wound.
Market Outlooks
Quarterly Report: The War to End All Wars
The first quarter of 2022 brought violence that rocked communities – and markets – internationally. We look at what aftershocks may still be yet to come.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Globalization is Still Strong, but Changing
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Global integration has clearly not stopped, but it is changing. Even with the pandemic’s disruption of global supply chains and rising U.S.-China tensions, investors should continue to count on a world that seems to be further integrating, rather than falling apart.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: No Stopping China’s Restocking
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FIFO gives China the global distribution edge across export sectors, even those that fell.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Coiled Spring
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Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring".
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Five Forces in International Equities Investors May Be Underestimating
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Global Head of International Equities Justin Thomson surveys five global trends that many international equity investors may be underestimating.