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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Taking an Economic Pulse
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Every decade brings a different economic environment. What’s set to impact the 2020s? In this episode of The Active Share, join Hugo with guest Olga Bitel, partner and global strategist for William Blair Investment Management, for a wide-ranging discussion of what’s driving the U.S. and global economies, including inflation, recession risk, productivity, geopolitics, and interest rates.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
This piece is approved to use with clients.
After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Handicapping the Outlook for US-Sino Trade Negotiations
Market pundits have doubted this bull market every step of the way. Each pullback put into evidence that the cycle had reached its endgame; each recovery off the lows furthered the disequilibrium caused by monetary malfeasance. And yet, not more than two weeks ago the market stood as high as it ever has.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Give a little, get a little
Read the full commentary for insight on earnings, data, macro, and other key factors affecting the US economy in the near term.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Thoughts on the Current Market
As 2018 comes to a close and we move into the new year, the stock market has hit some turbulence just as clients are receiving annual account statements and paying more attention to their financial health. How should advisors respond to their clients’ concerns? We feel it comes down to a few fundamental questions.