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      video by William Blair
      This piece is approved to use with clients.

      Taking an Economic Pulse

      May 02, 2023

        Every decade brings a different economic environment. What’s set to impact the 2020s? In this episode of The Active Share, join Hugo with guest Olga Bitel, partner and global strategist for William Blair Investment Management, for a wide-ranging discussion of what’s driving the U.S. and global economies, including inflation, recession risk, productivity, geopolitics, and interest rates.

      SHOW NOTES

      00:36

      Host Hugo Scott-Gall introduces today’s guest, Olga Bitel.

      02:41

      The recession risk of the U.S. economy due to convulsions in the banking sector.

      04:58

      Unpacking the Fed’s response to increasing interest rates.

      08:37

      The short-term major drivers of inflation.

      14:27

      Navigating the transition from fossil fuels to cleaner energy.

      18:49

      Decoupling vs. deglobalization.

      22:41

      The decline of the fertility rate in the U.S.

      24:34

      How Olga thinks about productivity and its outcomes.

      30:12

      The role geopolitics will play in the future of interest rates.

      View Disclosure

      This content is for informational and educational purposes only and not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investment advice and recommendations can be provided only after careful consideration of an investor’s objectives, guidelines, and restrictions.

      Information and opinions expressed are those of the authors and may not reflect the opinions of other investment teams within William Blair Investment Management, LLC, or affiliates. Factual information has been taken from sources we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Information is current as of the date appearing in this material only and subject to change without notice. Statements concerning financial market trends are based on current market conditions, which will fluctuate. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections, and other forward-looking statements. Due to a variety of factors, actual events may differ significantly from those presented.

      Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. Equity securities may decline in value due to both real and perceived general market, economic, and industry conditions. The securities of smaller companies may be more volatile and less liquid than securities of larger companies. Investing in foreign denominated and/or domiciled securities may involve heightened risk due to currency fluctuations, and economic and political risks. These risks may be enhanced in emerging markets. Different investment styles may shift in and out of favor depending on market conditions. Individual securities may not perform as expected or a strategy used by the Adviser may fail to produce its intended result.

      Investing in the bond market is subject to certain risks including market, interest rate, issuer, credit, and inflation risk. Rising interest rates generally cause bond prices to fall. High-yield, lower-rated, securities involve greater risk than higher-rated securities. Sovereign debt securities are subject to the risk that an entity may delay or refuse to pay interest or principal on its sovereign debt because of cash flow problems, insufficient foreign reserves, or political or other considerations. Derivatives may involve certain risks such as counterparty, liquidity, interest rate, market, credit, management, and the risk that a position could not be closed when most advantageous. Diversification does not ensure against loss. The inclusion of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors beyond traditional financial information in the selection of securities could result in a strategy's performance deviating from other strategies or benchmarks, depending on whether such factors are in or out of favor. ESG analysis may rely on certain values based criteria to eliminate exposures found in similar strategies or benchmarks, which could result in performance deviating.

      There can be no assurance that investment objectives will be met. Any investment or strategy mentioned herein may not be appropriate for every investor. References to specific companies are for illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

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