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Market Outlooks
CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS: 2023 EDITION FIVE-YEAR OUTLOOK
Northern Trust expects higher interest rates and flat global yield curves to cap bond and equity returns, causing market returns to drift below historical averages.
Market Outlooks
Rate Angst
Rising rates badly burned the bond market – and wartime, COVID and inflationary pressures mean plenty of salt to add to the wound.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
Quarterly Report: The War to End All Wars
The first quarter of 2022 brought violence that rocked communities – and markets – internationally. We look at what aftershocks may still be yet to come.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.