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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Active Share: Are Microchips the New Oil?
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Microchips are the building blocks of the modern economy, but what are the geopolitical implications of this new power player?
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Investing Ideas
Finding Stocks with Staying Power: The Quality Dimension White Paper
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Quality in stocks can be measured in different ways. Yet the characteristics of resilient companies have something in common—they tend to underpin consistent, long-term equity return potential. Over the last decade, the MSCI World Quality Index returned 12.4% annualized, outperforming the MSCI World Index (Display 1). And during past market crises, quality stocks usually fell less than the broader market, a pattern that we’ve observed over longer time periods and in both US and global stock markets.
Investing Ideas
Myron Scholes on Time: Efficiency in stock and option markets
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In this episode, Myron in conversation with Phil Maymin, compares and contrasts the market efficiency of stocks and options.