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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
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Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
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2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Is Labor Market Economic Kevlar or Achilles Heel?
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ClearBridge Investments: While the labor market remains an economic bright spot, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue its tightening policy until more signs emerge that job growth and wages are experiencing substantial slowdowns.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Direct Democracy On The Ballot: 2022 Ballot Initiatives
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In addition to control of Congress, voters will decide hundreds of ballot initiatives this November.