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Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Investing Ideas
As ETFs Boom, Trading Strategies Matter in a Volatile Market
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Capital markets haven’t been an easy road for investors to navigate in 2022, due to a bear market, red-hot inflation and rising correlations that have hampered diversification. Traditional safe havens for long-term investors have struggled too, with cash and Treasuries facing a rising-rate environment alongside historically high levels of market volatility. This uncertainty is one of the reasons behind what could be a record-breaking year in trading volume for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) due to their ability to provide investors with access to a wide variety of market sectors, attractive liquidity and low fees. In addition, many investors are using this vehicle for its tax-loss-harvesting properties as 2022 draws to a bumpy close. All of these benefits have led to a flurry of activity within ETF trading, with one sector in particular— actively managed ETFs—seeing a notable surge in popularity.
Investing Ideas
Equity Outlook: Bracing for an Economic Slowdown
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Spiking inflation, rising interest rates and growing fears of a US recession dominated global equity markets in the second quarter. While the outlook is very cloudy, it’s important to evaluate what types of strategies can help investors in an economic downturn.
Market Outlooks
The 2022 Selloff: What, Why, and Where We Stand
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Our principles: stay true to the process; recognize uncertainty for what it is; remain focused on fundamentals; and utilize periods of uncertainty to consider implications for portfolio positioning.
Market Outlooks
FAQ: What Does Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Mean for the Market?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Mounting tensions between Russia and Ukraine resulted in a Russian invasion into Ukraine sovereign territory in February. We continue to monitor events and their impact on asset classes closely. As our conditions and our views evolve, we offer our perspective on the market’s response.