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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Taking an Economic Pulse
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Every decade brings a different economic environment. What’s set to impact the 2020s? In this episode of The Active Share, join Hugo with guest Olga Bitel, partner and global strategist for William Blair Investment Management, for a wide-ranging discussion of what’s driving the U.S. and global economies, including inflation, recession risk, productivity, geopolitics, and interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Banking Turmoil: Outlook and Investment Implications
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While the full impact of the turmoil in the banking industry and the Fed’s response is still unknowable, we are gaining perspective on its economic impact, and thus its investment implications.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Investing Ideas
As ETFs Boom, Trading Strategies Matter in a Volatile Market
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Capital markets haven’t been an easy road for investors to navigate in 2022, due to a bear market, red-hot inflation and rising correlations that have hampered diversification. Traditional safe havens for long-term investors have struggled too, with cash and Treasuries facing a rising-rate environment alongside historically high levels of market volatility. This uncertainty is one of the reasons behind what could be a record-breaking year in trading volume for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) due to their ability to provide investors with access to a wide variety of market sectors, attractive liquidity and low fees. In addition, many investors are using this vehicle for its tax-loss-harvesting properties as 2022 draws to a bumpy close. All of these benefits have led to a flurry of activity within ETF trading, with one sector in particular— actively managed ETFs—seeing a notable surge in popularity.
Market Outlooks
A Ripe Environment for Value Valuations
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As investors who employ a bottom-up process when seeking quality companies, we’re intrigued with the growing valuation discount between our portfolios and their respective indices. We find it compelling that today we can purchase a higher-quality portfolio for a discounted price relative to the index, creating an attractive entry point for our actively managed small- to mid-cap value strategies. But before we get to that, let’s take a step back and look at how we got here.
Market Outlooks
Lessons From a Chaotic Year
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Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar.