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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
MarketScape: U.S. Debt Ceiling Deal: Signs of Stability for Investors
While complications still may arise, we expect Congress to enact the debt ceiling agreement in time to avoid a potential default. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes the market reaction to the deal and some risks that remain.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: What if the U.S. Defaults? And Other Debt Ceiling Scenarios
Chief Investment Officer for Global Fixed Income Thomas Swaney outlines how various scenarios may impact investors.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Taking an Economic Pulse
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Every decade brings a different economic environment. What’s set to impact the 2020s? In this episode of The Active Share, join Hugo with guest Olga Bitel, partner and global strategist for William Blair Investment Management, for a wide-ranging discussion of what’s driving the U.S. and global economies, including inflation, recession risk, productivity, geopolitics, and interest rates.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Facing heightened uncertainty, the Fed delivers another hike
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The Fed has raised rates by 300 basis points since June, a nearly unprecedented pace of tightening done to combat persistent inflation amid continued strength in the labor market and consumer spending. But markets are worried it will go too far, triggering a recession.