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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Practical Planning Is Your Compass
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The next several weeks are going to be challenging for advisors and investors. The reality of the scope and severity of the pandemic along with the associated economic and market damage will hit home raising fear levels to new highs. In these times, it will be hard not to overreact, panic or lose hope. Strong emotions and behavioral biases including, anchoring, loss aversion, cascading and availability bias can cloud our thinking and lead to poor decision making. Engaging in realistic and practical planning discussions along with relevant behavioral coaching can provide essential support during these challenging times.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Drawdown, Turbulence and Recovery
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Everyone breathed a sigh of relief as markets had several positive days. Don’t be surprised, however, if markets drop suddenly and test or breach previous lows several times over the next few weeks or months. Much like flying through a thunderstorm, there are likely to be some bumpy times ahead. No matter how many times you have flown, your heart jumps every time the aircraft drops. Fortunately, there is no need to time the bottom for long-term investors.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices for Uncharted Waters
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These are uncertain times. We work with great advisors that have shared their observations and resources with us and we thought you might find some of this helpful.
Behavioral Finance
How Long Can A Good Fund Look Bad?
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It’s only natural for someone invested in a poorly performing active equity mutual fund to wonder if it’s time to make a change. Should an investor sell a fund if it trails its benchmark for a year? Three years? Five years?