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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
THE BOND BLUES
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The blues have hit the bond market, but we believe current dislocations can create opportunities for active managers of individual bond portfolios.
Market Outlooks
SUNDAY NIGHT SURPRISE
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In attempt to go all in, the Federal Reserve cut rates on Sunday night to the lower bound, 0-0.25% and announced a $700 billion Quantitative Easing (QE) program.
Market Outlooks
A PERFECT STORM: PANDEMIC, PETROLEUM AND POLITICS
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Stocks were hit hard yesterday as coronavirus fears spread, oil prices plummeted, and uncertainties on the political front continued to linger.
Market Outlooks
Coronavirus Fears Wash Away New Market Highs
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Coronavirus fears hit the markets as concerns mount that the virus is now accelerating outside of China with cases growing in South Korea, Italy, Iran, and the United States. Panic set in during Monday’s trading session with the major U.S. stock indices all down over 3% with more than 90% of total volume being to the downside, and the CBOE Volatility Index surging nearly 50%.