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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Fiscal policy matters
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Any proposal for a Phase 4 stimulus package must balance when and how to bring Americans back to work safely
Portfolio Construction Insights
In search of tomorrow's winning stocks
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The approach is the same regardless of the environment.