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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
MarketScape: U.S. Debt Ceiling Deal: Signs of Stability for Investors
While complications still may arise, we expect Congress to enact the debt ceiling agreement in time to avoid a potential default. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes the market reaction to the deal and some risks that remain.
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Fixed Income Insights
Global Bond Market Update: Reaching the Peak
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Bond performance turned positive to end 2022 while inflation moderated and the pace of rate hikes slowed. But interest rate volatility likely will persist in 2023, as monetary policy and recession fears may dictate returns.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
This piece is approved to use with clients.
2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.