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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
MarketScape: U.S. Debt Ceiling Deal: Signs of Stability for Investors
While complications still may arise, we expect Congress to enact the debt ceiling agreement in time to avoid a potential default. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes the market reaction to the deal and some risks that remain.
Fixed Income Insights
Global Bond Market Update: Reaching the Peak
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Bond performance turned positive to end 2022 while inflation moderated and the pace of rate hikes slowed. But interest rate volatility likely will persist in 2023, as monetary policy and recession fears may dictate returns.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Bonds: 2023 U.S. States Outlook
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Revenue above expectations, pandemic federal aid and reserves have strengthened states' financial outlook. But states will need to prepare as pandemic aid winds down and the economy slows.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Handicapping the Outlook for US-Sino Trade Negotiations
Market pundits have doubted this bull market every step of the way. Each pullback put into evidence that the cycle had reached its endgame; each recovery off the lows furthered the disequilibrium caused by monetary malfeasance. And yet, not more than two weeks ago the market stood as high as it ever has.
Investing Ideas
Strategas Insight: Give a little, get a little
Read the full commentary for insight on earnings, data, macro, and other key factors affecting the US economy in the near term.