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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Globalization is Still Strong, but Changing
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Global integration has clearly not stopped, but it is changing. Even with the pandemic’s disruption of global supply chains and rising U.S.-China tensions, investors should continue to count on a world that seems to be further integrating, rather than falling apart.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: No Stopping China’s Restocking
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FIFO gives China the global distribution edge across export sectors, even those that fell.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Approaching Apogee
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Even as the U.S. economy rockets higher, last week's jobs miss will start to raise questions about what is a sustainable trajectory.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Coiled Spring
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Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring".