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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Ready, set...
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Rate normalization is almost a go.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Maybe markets should forget about 'transitory'
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Stubbornly higher inflation doesn't mean the Fed's wrong ... yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The inflation dilemma
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Should the Fed be more concerned?
Alternative Investments
Gimme shelter
Demand for houses is likely to remain strong, pushing up prices and benefitting builders.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Demographics: China's biggest Achilles' heel
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Vulnerabilities emerge at a potential turning point in its relations with the world.
Active/Passive Management
Federated Hermes tilts toward value
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Stock-bond model keeps 2% equity overweight but shifts from growth bias.