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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Risk Speedometer: Easing off the brake
In January, the 1-month risk speedometer continued to remain below its 5-year average, recording a score of –0.61 and landing slightly above the 25th percentile of rankings. Similarly, based on the 3- and 12-month speedometers, the appetite for risk remained low.
Market Outlooks
What investors can expect as key decisions affecting markets await
In this Q&A, Roger Aliaga-Díaz, Vanguard chief economist, Americas, discusses the potential short- and long-term market impacts of specific policy debates that could play out in the weeks ahead.
Manager & Investment Selection
The six key components for choosing an index asset manager
Are all index asset managers the same? Learn what separates the best managers from the rest of the industry.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Perspectives: Sometimes the Slow Lane is Faster
In Vanguard municipal perspectives for the second quarter of 2018, Chris Alwine, head of Vanguard Municipal Group, and Edward J. Saracino, senior product manager, explain why our portfolio managers are reducing risk in our municipal funds.