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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Investing Map Has Undergone a Regime Change | A Pivot to Emerging Markets Appears Prudent
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Over the past two years the markets have undergone a seminal change.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Dividends Increasingly Important During Increasing Rates
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At less than two months into 2022, the market has reached levels of volatility not seen in over a year.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Jobs and CPI: Fuel for the Fed to Start Their Engines
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The January jobs report — headlined by the Change in Nonfarm Payrolls number of 467,000, which was significantly higher than expectations (125,000) — was nothing short of spectacular.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Recent Volatility and the Flattening Yield Curve
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In conversations beginning as early as last June, we periodically described selected Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings as “the most important meeting in recent memory.”