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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Bear sightings: What bear markets could mean for investors
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We live in a suburb with a lot of wildlife.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Is everything going according to plan?
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It was another wild week for assets, with major stock indices — and many other asset prices — down.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets struggle to adjust in the face of Fed uncertainty
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I’m so old that I can remember “pre-QE” fixed income markets — the time before quantitative easing when yields were more normal.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Looking for a ‘glass half full’ after a tough month for markets
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Well, there’s no other way to describe April than that it truly was a mensis horribilis.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Global growth, the French election, and the Fed
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Last week was another busy, momentous one. Below, we discuss three key topics: global growth, the French election, and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish comments.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Inflation, monetary policy, earnings and more
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I entered this industry back in 1995, and I’ve seen a lot over the last 27 or so years — but the last few years have seemed particularly wild. I’m reminded of a line from one of my favorite Grateful Dead songs, “What a long strange trip it’s been.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.