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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Cooling U.S.‑Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal
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The prospects of the U.S. resolving key trade challenges with the EU have improved. The U.S. is likely to remain hawkish toward China.
Market Outlooks
Investing in a Pandemic: Lessons Learned and What’s Next
The crash a year ago created tremendous opportunities as price levels became disconnected from longer-term prospects.
Market Outlooks
PULSe Indicator: Pandemic Factor Rises to Crisis Levels
To help navigate turbulent markets, we constructed the PULSe indicator. At the end of December, the indicator was Stable.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Presidential Elections and Stock Markets
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Historically, market returns helped predict presidential election outcomes, but using election dates for market timing is inconclusive.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Market Outlooks
Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints and Investment Environment
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Pledges of fiscal spending have been quick to follow actions taken by major central banks to combat the looming impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. G-20 countries have pledged more than $5 trillion USD in stimulus through a wide range of avenues to stave off the effects on the global economy.