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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Cooling U.S.‑Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal
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The prospects of the U.S. resolving key trade challenges with the EU have improved. The U.S. is likely to remain hawkish toward China.
Fixed Income Insights
Fasten Your Seatbelt for More Interest Rate Volatility
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The trends of rising global bond yields and interest rate volatility are likely to continue in fixed income markets.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
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Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
Fixed Income Insights
Market Overview: Collateralized Loan Obligations
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Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) are managed portfolios of bank loans that have been securitized into different instruments of varying credit risk and thus varying credit ratings.
Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
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The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Presidential Elections and Stock Markets
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Historically, market returns helped predict presidential election outcomes, but using election dates for market timing is inconclusive.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Impact of COVID-19 on Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets
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While the Global Financial Crisis indiscriminately impacted volumes and pricing across commercial property types, the impact of the pandemic on capital markets, has been more selective, widening the gulf between “winner” and “loser” property types.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Macro Update: TikTok on the Clock, Now Don’t Let Fiscal Stimulus Stop
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TikTok may be the tip of the iceberg as the U.S. recommends tech companies remove Chinese apps from their app stores. Uncertainty around the next stimulus package may continue to weigh on consumer spending as we expect weaker data for July.