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Market Outlooks
Settling in for the Long Haul
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As we settle into the second quarter of 2023, we reassess our projections for the remainder of the year and analyze how these implications will affect our outlook for recession risk, central banks’ pivoting away from restrictive monetary policy sooner than expected, and corporate earnings expectations.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Active Share: Are Microchips the New Oil?
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Microchips are the building blocks of the modern economy, but what are the geopolitical implications of this new power player?
A New Era of Investing Dawns
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As we settle into the first quarter of 2023, it’s worth discussing the current cycle and the implications for markets in 2023—but the bigger issue is the developing likelihood we have begun to shift into a different economic and market environment, marking a different era than we have seen in the decade-plus since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC).
Turning Points for 2023
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Olga and Hugo walk into the new year with an eye on potential trend shifts, such as the end of U.S. interest-rate hikes and a weakening U.S. dollar. They discuss China’s reopening as a source of growth and consider what it might take to launch the next bull market in global equities.
Investing in Health and Wellness
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Health and wellness are not confined to New Year’s resolutions—they are a state of mind and being that has grown into a trillion-dollar global economy. This rapid growth was spurred on largely by the COVID-19 pandemic and has created many unique investment opportunities.