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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Is Labor Market Economic Kevlar or Achilles Heel?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
ClearBridge Investments: While the labor market remains an economic bright spot, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue its tightening policy until more signs emerge that job growth and wages are experiencing substantial slowdowns.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession Long View: Are we there yet?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The current bear market is in its early stages with multiple compression driving losses so far. Where equities ultimately bottom will depend on how well the economy holds up and the trajectory of corporate earnings.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Will the consumer bend or break?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The labor market is a key area ClearBridge Investments are scrutinizing for signs that aggressive action by the Fed is dampening inflation.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Not Your Father’s Energy Crisis
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The economic outlook bears little resemblance to the early pandemic, with consumption and business activity likely to slow from elevated levels but remain positive.