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Market Outlooks
Russia & Ukraine: Our Investment Research Views
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The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.
Market Outlooks
In 2022, Don't Predict. Prepare.
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Volatility, the rise and fall of prices, is inevitable. We aim to judiciously compound returns and avoid permanent capital impairment. We don’t predict. We invest.
Market Outlooks
Berkshire Hathaway Special: Key Learnings from the 2021 Annual Meeting
Join Morningstar Investment Management’s Michael Corty, Head of US Equity Strategies, and John Owens, Senior Portfolio Manager- Select Equity Portfolios, as they cover key takeaways from Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting. With Buffet's successor just announced, you won't want to miss these insights!
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: A dive into 2020 Fixed Income Markets & what they tell us for 2021
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The unfolding of diverse and largely unseen set of events in 2020 make it difficult to select only a few that we feel represent the tenor of the fixed income markets and the broad economy within this commentary. Clearly, the migration back into risk assets beginning in Q2 (the 2nd quarter) continued through Q4 2020 buttressed by what we think can be four primary causes:
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Let’s party like it’s 1999!
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As the calendar changed from 2020 to 2021, I can’t help but find an environment that is truly surreal. We have a raging global pandemic on our hands that is getting markedly worse on a day-by-day basis, we have vaccines that are sitting in warehouses being administered at one-tenth the rate that is necessary to accomplish the task at hand and we have millions without a job with difficult prospects of getting one in the near future.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Equity market side effects of the covid-19 vaccine
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The 337 days spanning the World Health Organization’s announcement of COVID-19 to the FDA approval of the first vaccine the world witnessed many social, economic, and scientific events few thought possible.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Light at the end of the tunnel
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The year 2020 and the start of 2021 will be burned into the collective consciousness for quite some time for a myriad of reasons and given this we probably shouldn’t rehash every headline here. However, from an investment standpoint we can summarize 2020 very simply as:
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The pivot point for 2021
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In a year filled with a cacophony of conflicting messages and each one portrayed as the real black swan event to change the world, it seems overly provincial to narrow the next year down to one metric. However, when this metric is and has been highly disregarded as a material issue anymore, it seems those events approach a level of blind spot that transforms markets.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints – Our generational opportunity call on commodities remains intact
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In January of this year we published my Viewpoints article, “Generational Opportunity Now for the Next Decade?” The article was a contrarian call on the prices of commodities and outlined what we felt was a very significant price apex and the opportunities that created. Our “big call” for 2020 was a historically compelling opportunity to over allocate to commodities (which we framed as Metals, Materials, Agriculture and Energy) in portfolios.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Election head fakes & virus bright spots
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As we approach the end of the year it is probably safe to say that few if any have ever experienced a year like 2020. The municipal market also experienced a year like no other with the only recent parallel being – at certain times during the year – the 2008 financial crisis.