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Market Outlooks
Lessons From a Chaotic Year
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Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar.
Market Outlooks
Before and After: How Ukraine Changed Our Outlook
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Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation.
Market Outlooks
Tectonic Shifts in the Investing Landscape
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Much like the heat from radioactive processes inside the Earth causes tectonic plates to move—sometimes in one direction and sometimes in another—the dynamic shifting of corporate winners and losers remains a constant.
Market Outlooks
10 Reasons We Still Like Industrials
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As the Ukraine conflict continues and COVID ramps up in parts of the world, it seems like all eyes are focused on supply-chain dynamics and labor shortages, which could, in theory, bode poorly for industrials—but a recent research trip abroad only solidified our view that these stocks are well positioned for growth (and deserve their overweight in our broader global equity portfolios). Here are 10 observations about industrials.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Approaching Apogee
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Even as the U.S. economy rockets higher, last week's jobs miss will start to raise questions about what is a sustainable trajectory.