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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession Long View: Are we there yet?
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The current bear market is in its early stages with multiple compression driving losses so far. Where equities ultimately bottom will depend on how well the economy holds up and the trajectory of corporate earnings.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Will the consumer bend or break?
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The labor market is a key area ClearBridge Investments are scrutinizing for signs that aggressive action by the Fed is dampening inflation.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Not Your Father’s Energy Crisis
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The economic outlook bears little resemblance to the early pandemic, with consumption and business activity likely to slow from elevated levels but remain positive.
Market Outlooks
The More Things Change...
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The disappointing August jobs report was primarily due to the Delta variant, but sets up a potential goldilocks scenario for investors.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession Indicators: Labor Measures Show Improvement
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ClearBridge Investments believe an improving jobs market will help drive further upside to consumption and GDP expectations as individual stimulus payments begin to wane.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: A dive into 2020 Fixed Income Markets & what they tell us for 2021
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The unfolding of diverse and largely unseen set of events in 2020 make it difficult to select only a few that we feel represent the tenor of the fixed income markets and the broad economy within this commentary. Clearly, the migration back into risk assets beginning in Q2 (the 2nd quarter) continued through Q4 2020 buttressed by what we think can be four primary causes:
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Let’s party like it’s 1999!
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As the calendar changed from 2020 to 2021, I can’t help but find an environment that is truly surreal. We have a raging global pandemic on our hands that is getting markedly worse on a day-by-day basis, we have vaccines that are sitting in warehouses being administered at one-tenth the rate that is necessary to accomplish the task at hand and we have millions without a job with difficult prospects of getting one in the near future.