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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession Long View: Are we there yet?
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The current bear market is in its early stages with multiple compression driving losses so far. Where equities ultimately bottom will depend on how well the economy holds up and the trajectory of corporate earnings.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Will the consumer bend or break?
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The labor market is a key area ClearBridge Investments are scrutinizing for signs that aggressive action by the Fed is dampening inflation.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Not Your Father’s Energy Crisis
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The economic outlook bears little resemblance to the early pandemic, with consumption and business activity likely to slow from elevated levels but remain positive.
Market Outlooks
The More Things Change...
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The disappointing August jobs report was primarily due to the Delta variant, but sets up a potential goldilocks scenario for investors.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession Indicators: Labor Measures Show Improvement
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ClearBridge Investments believe an improving jobs market will help drive further upside to consumption and GDP expectations as individual stimulus payments begin to wane.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Practical Planning Is Your Compass
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The next several weeks are going to be challenging for advisors and investors. The reality of the scope and severity of the pandemic along with the associated economic and market damage will hit home raising fear levels to new highs. In these times, it will be hard not to overreact, panic or lose hope. Strong emotions and behavioral biases including, anchoring, loss aversion, cascading and availability bias can cloud our thinking and lead to poor decision making. Engaging in realistic and practical planning discussions along with relevant behavioral coaching can provide essential support during these challenging times.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Drawdown, Turbulence and Recovery
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Everyone breathed a sigh of relief as markets had several positive days. Don’t be surprised, however, if markets drop suddenly and test or breach previous lows several times over the next few weeks or months. Much like flying through a thunderstorm, there are likely to be some bumpy times ahead. No matter how many times you have flown, your heart jumps every time the aircraft drops. Fortunately, there is no need to time the bottom for long-term investors.