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Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Labor market cracks emerging
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ClearBridge Investments: Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook Flyer
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: The dominoes are falling
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ClearBridge Investments: The Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month, suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
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Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
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The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook Flyer - March 2023
ClearBridge Investments utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession. Each individual indicator can signal expansion, caution or recession in the economy...
Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.