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Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Approaching Apogee
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Even as the U.S. economy rockets higher, last week's jobs miss will start to raise questions about what is a sustainable trajectory.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Time to Start Thinking About Thinking
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The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Investing Around the Next Round of Russia Sanctions
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Markets have learned to brace for each new set of measures, but now it’s more important to watch for any evolution in the bilateral relationship.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: With So Much Liquidity, It’s Time to Double-Check the Plumbing
Inflation fears look exaggerated so far, but risks buried deep in balance sheets can never get too much attention.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
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Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Future of Money May Come Sooner Than You Think
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The pandemic delivered a boost to cashless commerce, but fresh designs for digital money will disrupt far more than coins and bills.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Pessimist's Guide to the Rest of the Year
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The base case is bright in spite of recent market jitters, but we’re watching 10 numbers that would signal a darker turn.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Who Will Balance the Budgets?
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It’s not today’s problem, but it’s a question investors will start asking more often as the Republican Party confronts its identity crisis.