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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Market Outlooks
Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
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The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) over the weekend, the biggest bank failure in U.S. history after Washington Mutual in 2008, seemingly caught both regulators and markets off guard, and triggered fears of contagion across the global banking sector. In response, on Sunday night (March 12), U.S. policymakers (the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) announced emergency measures to shore up the U.S. banking system.
Market Outlooks
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook: Bracing for Uncertain Times
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Global economic outlook now fraught with risks.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Investing Map Has Undergone a Regime Change | A Pivot to Emerging Markets Appears Prudent
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Over the past two years the markets have undergone a seminal change.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Dividends Increasingly Important During Increasing Rates
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At less than two months into 2022, the market has reached levels of volatility not seen in over a year.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Jobs and CPI: Fuel for the Fed to Start Their Engines
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The January jobs report — headlined by the Change in Nonfarm Payrolls number of 467,000, which was significantly higher than expectations (125,000) — was nothing short of spectacular.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Recent Volatility and the Flattening Yield Curve
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In conversations beginning as early as last June, we periodically described selected Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings as “the most important meeting in recent memory.”