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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Facing heightened uncertainty, the Fed delivers another hike
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The Fed has raised rates by 300 basis points since June, a nearly unprecedented pace of tightening done to combat persistent inflation amid continued strength in the labor market and consumer spending. But markets are worried it will go too far, triggering a recession.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Fed rate hikes will continue until inflation improves
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Nuveen's Chief Investment Strategist, Brian Nick, provides his thoughts on the Fed meeting.