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Portfolio Construction Insights
2022 Trends and Opportunities
Curated content for RIAs.
Reflation and Inflation: Survival Guide for an(other) unprecedented year.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Portfolio Diagnostic Report: Recover Wisely - Be Global, Be Picky
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Despite a violent COVID-driven correction in the first quarter of 2020, markets responded with a rebound throughout the remainder of the year and returns were primarily positive across asset classes. The 2021 Janus Henderson Market GPS Investment Outlook suggests cautious optimism for performance outcomes while exhorting investors to diversify in order to mitigate outlier risks.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Shifting Gears - Moving to a Goals-Based Fixed Income Strategy
For traditional fixed income investors, much of the last 40 years have been a relatively enjoyable ride. This benefit has slowly evaporated over the past 10 years, as rates have plunged to near zero and now extreme market turmoil from the COVID-19 pandemic has put investors at a crossroads: high-quality, traditional fixed income will always be a crucial bedrock for investment portfolios but emerging from this crisis with extremely low – or even negative – government bond rates means this “insurance” might become more expensive. It’s no wonder, then, that many investors are viewing the fixed income implications of the COVID-19 crisis as existential.
Tax Management
2021 Financial Planning Limits and Tax Rate Schedules
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Addressing the complexities of financial planning can be difficult.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Portfolio Diagnostics Report: Shifting Gears
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For traditional fixed income investors, much of the last 40 years have been a relatively enjoyable ride; the 1980s began with double-digit interest rates that have steadily fallen, creating large amounts of bond return and income as well as crisis management along the way. Instead of investors paying a premium for portfolio crisis management, traditional fixed income paid investors that premium.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
U.S. presidential election outlook
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As the 2020 election season heats up and President Trump’s odds of winning continue to run cold, we believe it is important to understand the investment implications of a potential change in government versus the status quo. We have outlined the policy implications of the three most likely election outcomes: a Democratic sweep, a Biden presidency with a Republican Senate and a Trump presidency with a Republican Senate. This analysis assumes that Democrats hold the House, which we believe is highly likely.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is this the new normal?
Pyrford International provide a snapshot of the UK economy as it inches closer to Brexit.