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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
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Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: A 50/50 U.S. Recession Risk
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald examines the economic risks investors face.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What are the Secondary Effects of the War? The Dreaded “Triple R”
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Fears of the dreaded “triple R” are growing—encompassing a recession, rising rates, and a loss in real household incomes. It is a dangerous time for investors, especially for those that draw a straight line from economic events to portfolio changes. We must be intentional and focused on our goals, including understanding what was already priced in and managing any risks to our convictions.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
In First 100 Days, Biden Maps Big Changes to Economy
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The technology, health care, industrials, and utilities sectors could be impacted by Biden's legislative agenda.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Five Forces in International Equities Investors May Be Underestimating
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Global Head of International Equities Justin Thomson surveys five global trends that many international equity investors may be underestimating.