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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
MarketScape: U.S. Debt Ceiling Deal: Signs of Stability for Investors
While complications still may arise, we expect Congress to enact the debt ceiling agreement in time to avoid a potential default. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes the market reaction to the deal and some risks that remain.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Investing Ideas
Investing in founder-led companies
It may align with your goals to consider companies run by their founders.
Investing Ideas
Understanding bitcoin
The cryptocurrency shares some similarities with gold but be aware of the risks.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The rotation in stocks may not be over
Small caps, value, and non-US stocks may continue to benefit from Fed policy.