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Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Ready, set...
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Rate normalization is almost a go.
Investing Ideas
[Infographic] Electric-vehicle sales are soaring, driving changes in the market
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Electric vehicles are becoming more popular, but changing the market with each purchase.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Maybe markets should forget about 'transitory'
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Stubbornly higher inflation doesn't mean the Fed's wrong ... yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The inflation dilemma
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Should the Fed be more concerned?
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Demographics: China's biggest Achilles' heel
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Vulnerabilities emerge at a potential turning point in its relations with the world.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Immigrants key drivers of U.S. economy
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Create a safe, legal immigration framework for foreign workers.