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Market Outlooks
Kind of, pretty much, just about divided government
The S&P 500 Index is up an extraordinary 16% since election day – November 3, 2020.
Market Outlooks
To paraphrase Yogi Berra, what can we observe by watching gold and copper?
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The late, great Yogi Berra, in addition to winning 10 World Series with the New York Yankees, was the creator of numerous classic malapropisms, including, “You can observe a lot by just watching.”
Market Outlooks
In a big November, small caps come up REALLY BIG
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As we take pen to paper for this Weekly Wire we have one trading day left in November, and what a November it has been for our country, our economy, and our stock market:
Market Outlooks
Considering the long-term economic consequences of COVID-19
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COVID-19 is first and foremost a healthcare crisis, and its impact on the world has been devastating. That said, as investors, we must try to determine the long-term economic consequences of the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: We’ve got Georgia on our minds
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When one thinks of the great state of Georgia, one often thinks of the classic tune, “Georgia On My Mind,” and the late, great Ray Charles, who first recorded it in 1960 and made it famous around the world.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The (presumed) policy implications of 11/3/2020
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While we won’t know for sure which party will control the US Senate through 2022 until Georgia decides both of its US Senate elections via a January 5, 2021 runoff, we are comfortable assuming the United States will face a divided government the next two years, with a Democrat in the White House, a Democrat-led House of Representatives, and a Republican-led Senate.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
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We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Something worth paying attention to other than the election
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What – other than the election – should be commanding investor attention these days? Our vote would be the bond market. To help put politics and the bond market in the same neat little box, we turn to renowned political consultant James Carville, who in the early 1990s said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: When it comes to the election, what is the market “pricing in?”
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Investors pay attention to the stock market not just because they are investing in it, but because they consider the market one of – if not the most – accurate of all leading indicators. Said differently, the market, in its infinite wisdom, will lead the real economy and will tell us where the world is headed.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Have we seen this movie before?
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Before we dive into the weekly wire there are two BIG disclaimers we need to address. First, we are not determining which political party bears responsibility for the state of fiscal stimulus negotiations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: An unsettled world becomes more so
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An unsettled world – a pandemic, a contentious election, a strained political and cultural discourse, unrest in our streets – has become more so with news President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump tested positive for COVID-19.