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Regulatory Education
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Market Outlooks
Banking Turmoil: Outlook and Investment Implications
This piece is approved to use with clients.
While the full impact of the turmoil in the banking industry and the Fed’s response is still unknowable, we are gaining perspective on its economic impact, and thus its investment implications.
Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Market Outlooks
2023: Our U.S. Teams Weigh In
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. While impossible to predict what 2023 has in store—especially because interest-rate changes can have a lagged effect on corporate earnings—we asked our U.S. equity teams to weigh in.
Market Outlooks
Outlook 2023: Better Than Feared
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As we look out to 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has reached its “neutral” monetary policy stance, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is not far behind. Europe has moved fast to secure fossil fuel supply away from Russia, even at higher—but stable—prices. U.S. consumer price inflation is moderating. Asynchronous reopening, with China’s consumers set to rejoin the post-COVID economy, is likely to mean more inflation volatility next year.