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Market Outlooks
The golden rule
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If there's no recession in sight, stay bullish.
Market Outlooks
The path for growth investing hasn't changed
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Megatrends and secular shifts continue to create long-term opportunities.
Market Outlooks
It's Not Much, But We'll Take It
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Excluding this awful pandemic, we think most market observers would cite inflation as the greatest risk to the economy and markets.
Market Outlooks
Omicron & The Fed Upend The Markets
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After a week away for the Thanksgiving holiday, we are happy to be taking pen to paper to share our thoughts on the economy and markets.
Market Outlooks
Chips are down but auto ABS opportunity is up
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Semiconductor shortage is an all-around positive for these asset-backed securities.
Market Outlooks
Thinking About Inflation and Rob Base (Effect)
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“It takes two to make a thing go right, it takes two to make it outta sight.” Some of us will remember dancing to “It Takes Two,” the massive ‘80s hit by Rob Base and DJ EZ Rock.
Market Outlooks
Productivity, Profits, and Pay
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Despite the Delta variant of the coronavirus, supply chain bottlenecks, a spike in input prices, and a meaningful employer/employee mismatch, the US economy continues to power ahead.
Market Outlooks
Nobody Likes to Pay More for Stuff. So Why Does The Fed?
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Given the shutting down of the economy last year, and the subsequent collapse in demand and prices, the year-on-year comparisons into 2021 pretty much guaranteed a dramatic jump in prices as the economy reopened; stressed supply chains are adding to inflationary pressures.
Market Outlooks
The energy-inflation connection can't be ignored
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There's only so much innovation can do as accelerating growth drives up demand.
Market Outlooks
Forget The Fox…What Do The Dots Say?
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“What does the fox say?” got me thinking about last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and “What do the dots say?”
Market Outlooks
Don’t Call It A Comeback
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Despite a down day Friday, it was a good week for the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, with the index up more than 3% for the week.
Market Outlooks
To paraphrase Yogi Berra, what can we observe by watching gold and copper?
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The late, great Yogi Berra, in addition to winning 10 World Series with the New York Yankees, was the creator of numerous classic malapropisms, including, “You can observe a lot by just watching.”