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Market Outlooks
The golden rule
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If there's no recession in sight, stay bullish.
Market Outlooks
The path for growth investing hasn't changed
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Megatrends and secular shifts continue to create long-term opportunities.
Market Outlooks
Chips are down but auto ABS opportunity is up
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Semiconductor shortage is an all-around positive for these asset-backed securities.
Market Outlooks
The energy-inflation connection can't be ignored
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There's only so much innovation can do as accelerating growth drives up demand.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor: Don't Hesitate to Build Your Wealth
Investors often fret about the market environment and ask if they should invest now or hold off for a better time. For long-term investors, making regular contributions is more important than when the contributions are made each year.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Market Outlooks
Economic recovery accelerates
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A rebound led by the labor market, housing, autos, manufacturing and consumers.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Behavioral Advisor: Your Investments are Non-Partisan
With the election year fury reaching its apex, it is easy to believe that political outcomes in November will have a significant impact on your investments.
Market Outlooks
Advisor Perspectives: CAPE is a Very Noisy Market Predictor
Analysts have many ways to estimate expected market returns. The challenge is to identify those few that provide usable information for making investment decisions. In this article, I discuss one of the common mistakes made in this type of analysis and why the cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), developed by Robert Shiller, is not nearly as reliable a predictor of market returns as most claim it to be.