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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
In First 100 Days, Biden Maps Big Changes to Economy
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The technology, health care, industrials, and utilities sectors could be impacted by Biden's legislative agenda.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Cooling U.S.‑Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal
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The prospects of the U.S. resolving key trade challenges with the EU have improved. The U.S. is likely to remain hawkish toward China.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Potential Winners and Losers From Bidens Climate
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Biden's climate policies aim to create jobs, modernize critical infrastructure, and support the greening of U.S. industry.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
U.S. presidential election outlook
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As the 2020 election season heats up and President Trump’s odds of winning continue to run cold, we believe it is important to understand the investment implications of a potential change in government versus the status quo. We have outlined the policy implications of the three most likely election outcomes: a Democratic sweep, a Biden presidency with a Republican Senate and a Trump presidency with a Republican Senate. This analysis assumes that Democrats hold the House, which we believe is highly likely.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Higher Tax Rates Expected in Biden Administration
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A Biden administration is expected to propose higher tax rates to finance various domestic programs.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
2020 Midyear Market Outlook: Policy, Politics, and Populism
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While the coronavirus crisis dominated the policy agenda in early 2020, investors will need to monitor a host of other risks in the second half.