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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Market Outlooks
Second Quarter 2020 Quarterly Market Update
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Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) examines major themes in global financial markets and presents its investment outlook in this quarterly market update.
Market Outlooks
View of the Business Cycle by Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team
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A review of the current state of the U.S. business cycle and the effects of the spread of COVID-19, as well as the potential implications for asset allocation.
Market Outlooks
The Market Has a Math Problem
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The market has a math problem—or does it? It all depends on where rates go.
Market Outlooks
What's the Price of Uncertainty?
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Uncertainty & demographics put a premium on cash flow.