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Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Five Forces in International Equities Investors May Be Underestimating
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Global Head of International Equities Justin Thomson surveys five global trends that many international equity investors may be underestimating.
Fixed Income Insights
Why the Eurozone Will Not Mirror China’s Post-COVID Recovery
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The eurozone's post-COVID recovery is set to be slower and more painful than China's.
Investing Ideas
Why the Time Is Right to Consider Investing in Emerging Market Local Debt
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In the post-COVID landscape, EM local bonds can play an important role in portfolios as a potential income-generating growth asset.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Cooling U.S.‑Europe Trade Tensions Could Lead to Bigger Deal
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The prospects of the U.S. resolving key trade challenges with the EU have improved. The U.S. is likely to remain hawkish toward China.
Fixed Income Insights
Fasten Your Seatbelt for More Interest Rate Volatility
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The trends of rising global bond yields and interest rate volatility are likely to continue in fixed income markets.