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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With More Stimulus on the Horizon, Fed Expects a Strong Recovery in 2021
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The Federal Reserve in March raised its forecasts for GDP growth, inflation and employment, based on the $1.9 trillion in new stimulus signed into law and an accelerated vaccine rollout.