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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Fixed Income Insights
Save Should Not Mean Sacrifice
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Portfolio Manager Nick Maroutsos believes that capital preservation and attractive risk-adjusted returns are not mutually exclusive despite zero-interest rate policy across much of the developed world.
Fixed Income Insights
Market Overview: Collateralized Loan Obligations
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Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) are managed portfolios of bank loans that have been securitized into different instruments of varying credit risk and thus varying credit ratings.
Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
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The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.